"History has yet to
impart all its lessons, and already are all the mistakes repeated."
The
War on Terrorism Has Gone Cold
Note: Since this essay was written, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and
Saudi Arabia have allowed their military facilities to be used by US forces,
once the United Nations permit them to attack Iraq. Britain has pledged the
strongest support for the US, despite many dissenters amongst the ranks of the
ruling Labour Party. The United States Congress has passed a resolution
approving the use of force to disarm Iraq.
Today, with the threat of communist
expansion long behind us, our national leaders are sounding battle cries
once more, rallying all defenders of liberty to face yet another menace.
Our epic struggle at hand is the War
on Terrorism, provoked by the grievous attacks of September 11th,
2001. The first campaign was to uproot al-Qaeda, the group responsible for
the attacks. Operation Enduring Freedom overthrew the Taliban, the
fundamentalist Islamic regime that hosted al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, but its leader Mullah Omar as well as
Osama bin Laden, the head of the terrorist
organization, had eluded capture. The next target, if
the current US administration is to have its way, is Iraq, a potential
user or dealer of weapons of mass destruction. Although Saddam Hussein's regime had
indeed waged war with its ethnic minorities, its neighbors and the West
during the past two decades, its connection with al-Qaeda or any other terrorist organization
at any time is yet to be
established.
Even as the ashes settle in the Afghan
deserts, the gravity and breadth of the War on Terrorism grow by the day.
It is inevitably drawing comparison to the last great human conflict of
the twentieth century, the four-decade-long Cold War.
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Captured Soviet tanks in Afghanistan (Efrem
Lukatsky, AP)
While it may be
forgivable to believe America had won and not merely outlasted the Cold
War, it would be utterly wrong to think that, since then, America is
beyond reproach in matters of war and peace. |
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For all the spectacular successes and
failures on both sides – the wars in Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia,
Afghanistan and Angola, the split and reunification of Germany, the Bay of
Pigs and the Cuban missile crisis – it was not the United States and her
Western allies that won, but the Soviet Union that lost. Communism, an
untenable socio-economic model, was its own worst enemy. While it may be
forgivable to believe that America had won and not merely outlasted the
Cold War, it would be utterly wrong to think that, since then, America is
beyond reproach in matters of war and peace. History has yet to impart all
its lessons, and already are all the mistakes repeated.
George W Bush could not put it any
more succinctly: "Either you're with us, or you're with the
terrorists." The War on Terrorism once again
divides the world into two camps, dismissing all cultural and historical
subtleties. In our zeal to fight communism during the McCarthy era, we
made little distinction between a North Korean and a North Vietnamese, let
alone the differences between a Russian, a Czech, an East German or even
an American communist. Does that make any more sense than labeling the
so-called Axis of Evil – Iraq, Iran and North Korea?
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Consider Pakistan. The current ruler,
Pervez Musharaf, is a general who took over the country in a coup,
arranged a special election he could not possibly lose to rubber-stamp his
presidency, and rewrote the constitution to extend his powers. He did
little to stop the repeated terrorist attacks against India over Kashmir,
or the murders of Western nationals by Islamic extremists within Pakistan.
He has nuclear weapons at his disposal. So why does the Bush
administration not demand a "regime change" in Islamabad? As in
the Cold War days, Washington is once again condoning despotism so long as
its purpose is served. Musharaf pays lip service to America's War on
Terrorism, giving Washington the impression that it has a strategic Muslim
ally. The charade will not hold. Unless Musharaf makes good on his promise
to restore democracy in Pakistan, his fate is likely that of his
predecessors: exile, imprisonment, or assassination.
Why didn't the US challenge Saddam
Hussein back in the 1980s, when his Sunni regime used poison gas against
the Kurds of northern Iraq, and the Shiites of southern Iraq and Iran? The
Ayatollah Khomeni, whose followers spurned a secular absolute monarch the
Americans supported, and held American citizens hostage for more than a
year, was a greater foe at the time. Saddam was a friend not just because
he was an enemy's enemy; he was selling oil, straight from one of the
world's largest petroleum reserves under his sole control.
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Anti-US, anti-Israel protesters in
Iran (Reuters)
Let the historians
decide whether American Cold War policy inadvertently kindled the fires of
Islamic fundamentalism, by supporting such an unpopular despot in Tehran
for so long. |
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Only one thing remained amiss. Since the US
was providing Israel with the means of defense against her hostile Arab
neighbors, the Arab nations joined the Cold War, buying Kalashnikovs and
MiGs from their giant neighbor to the north. That was why Washington had
the Shah of Iran under its payroll in the first place, following its
sponsorship of the coup that overthrew the elected nationalist government
in 1953 – to contain the
spread of Soviet influence in the Muslim world. Let the historians decide
whether American Cold War policy inadvertently kindled the fires of
Islamic fundamentalism, by supporting such an unpopular despot in Tehran
for so long.
While Iran and Iraq were left alone by
the rest of the world to slaughter each other, the USSR was pulling puppet
strings in Kabul, and building bridges to bring in tanks from Uzbekistan.
Fierce resistance came from those amongst the quarrelsome Afghan tribes
rejecting and rejected by the cronies of Moscow; their holy war was too
interesting for zealous Muslims of the Middle East and CIA operatives to
stand idly by. Here, a young Saudi adventurer called Osama – learned,
well connected, charismatic, and fabulously wealthy – began building a
base for his private army.
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In hindsight, it is certain to say
that the Kabul of the 1980s was doomed to fall, with or without American
subversion. Had we seen our interests beyond the terms of the Cold War, we
might have helped to rebuild impoverished Afghanistan right after the
Russians left it in tatters, instead of abandoning it to local bandits and
warlords, puritanical students trained in the madrasas of Pakistan,
and fanatics from the Middle East and north Africa. That timely
rehabilitation would necessitate the Afghan tribes to reconcile with their
then-Soviet neighbors, so as to bring not just arms, but food, fuel,
architects and civic engineers from north of their border.
One decade later, the Berlin Wall came
down, the dismantling of USSR and Yugoslavia was well underway, Poland,
Hungary, the Czech Republic and the Baltic states had petitioned to join
the EU, apartheid was voted out of South Africa, and civilian governments
were returning to Santiago and Buenos Aires. Forces that brought about the
New World Order were greater than the designs of a single nation, but the
graying Cold Warriors of America felt their victory was long overdue,
their methods – selective containment, engagement or subversion of
foreign regimes – well justified.
Then Saddam invaded Kuwait.
Indeed, the Gulf War of 1991-1992 was about the
preservation of the Arabian Peninsula, the world's most important source
of petroleum, but it was a little more than just that. If America and the
West wanted only oil, we all could have simply pinched our noses and
bought it from Saddam, as we have always done.
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US Special Forces in Afghanistan
(Brennan Linsley, AP)
We now shun wars in
the traditional sense, preferring brief, limited "operations"
with short-term objectives. |
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What Saddam did was unacceptable for a
world long accustomed to the duopoly of power during the Cold War. Baghdad
seized the strategic initiative once privy only to Moscow and Washington
– for falling out of line, US branded Iraq a “rogue state.” It even
looked like an erstwhile superpower, rolling out its Soviet tanks,
helicopters and phalanxes of Republican Guards armed with AK-47s. Its
victim, Kuwait, was not a sworn blood enemy like Israel, or an immediate
threat like Iran: it was a calculated target, a prey caught off guard.
Iraq already had enough oil without the fields in Kuwait, but by claiming
its new province, Saddam instilled a false sense of manifest destiny in
his long-suffering people, thereby justifying his despotic rule.
By then, the stakes of war were already quite high. It
is only the poor, struggling peoples, crudely and cheaply armed, that
fight for their long, tortuous causes, resorting to wars of attrition
because they already have so little to lose. Modern military forces
are given, in peacetime, ever more costly arms of bewildering
sophistication, and trained to use them at ever-greater expense.
Ironically, this heavy investment, affordable only to the most prosperous
nations whose citizens covet their high standard of life, makes it far
less likely for these nations to commit themselves to a long-drawn,
high-casualty conflict. We now shun wars in the traditional sense,
preferring brief, limited "operations" with short-term
objectives. |
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Ideally, it was how every battle in
the Cold War ought to be fought, when it came to fighting. The goal was
not to occupy every other nation on earth, but to apply enough force to
bend its will closer to one’s own. The coalition had these objectives:
field-testing America’s peerless weapon technology, securing the
West’s all-important oil supply, proving that Western and Muslim forces
could fight side by side against a common threat, and yes, liberating
Kuwait, which in itself was certainly not a bad thing.
Operation Desert Storm came and went,
as fleeting as the flight of a stealth bomber. It met its objectives on
schedule, under budget (such as it was), with casualties and collateral
damage kept to a minimum. At the time, it did appear Saddam was put in his
proper place. American and British fighter pilots enforced no-fly zones
over the Kurdish and Shiite regions of northern and southern Iraq. UN
inspectors began checking Iraq’s capability of producing chemical,
biological and nuclear weapons, at least for a short while. Saddam himself
was left alone for the local opposition to topple him, or so his enemies
had hoped.
Let history thus proclaim that the
Gulf War was justified and successful: the same could not be said for so
many wars in this lifetime. Yes, Saddam was spared, but the prospect of
going after him, entrenched in his many bunkers, shielded by urban
residents and hardened by the cause of defending the motherland, would be
as daunting then as it is now.
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Saudi Foreign Minister Prince
Saud al Faisal and US President George W Bush (Kevin Lamarque, Reuters)
Every Arab nation,
including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and even Kuwait, is refusing to
participate in Gulf War II. |
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So, what did America do
with such a bona fide victory? Disregarding local sensitivities,
the US left her warships, jets and troops in Saudi Arabia – Islam’s
most sacred grounds – believing that their stay was well earned, and
that their mere presence could impose parity and influence. A Cuban-style
trade embargo was imposed upon Iraq, impoverishing the country as a whole
while Saddam continued to sell his oil. There was no direct rapprochement
to Saddam, no attempt to bring him back to the international fold through
diplomatic persuasion.
It is telling that the current US
administration stands very much alone in its intention to bring the War on
Terrorism to Baghdad. Every Arab nation, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar,
Bahrain and even Kuwait, is
refusing to participate in Gulf War II. The sentiment throughout Europe is
the same. Russia and France, whose business interests in Iraq were
disrupted by the economic sanctions, lobbied to end them. In
Germany, Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder made "no war in Iraq" an
election slogan. Even Britain, the only other remaining coalition member
still patrolling the skies of Iraq, is noncommittal, insisting only upon
the return of UN weapon inspectors to Iraq. Such dissent in NATO,
which now counts Russia as a junior partner, was unthinkable during the
Cold War.
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Why was the precious dividend of the
Gulf War so completely spent? True, the Gulf States feared that a
protracted campaign to oust Saddam could permanently destabilize the
Arabian Peninsula, killing and displacing thousands of civillians. The Europeans were wary of another war, now that they
finally have the situation in the Balkans under control. The most
compelling reason, though, was coming from the Holy Land.
In 2000, Ehud Barak and Yasser
Arafat failed to reach a peace agreement at Camp David, in effect
nullifying the Oslo Peace Accord of 1993. The Palestinians, seething at
the lack of progress towards statehood and restitution, needed only the
slightest of Israeli provocation to renew their uprising. It happened when
Likud PM candidate Ariel Sharon – the former general responsible for the
massacre of Palestinian refugees in south Lebanon, and advocate for
expansion of Jewish settlements in occupied Palestinian territories –
paid a brief visit to the Wailing Wall of Jerusalem. (Loathe were the
Arabs to see their enemy at the ruins of Solomon’s Temple, upon which
the Prophet ascended to heaven, commemorated henceforth by the Dome of the
Rock and the Al Aqsa Mosque.) First came the hand-thrown stones, then
sniper bullets, mortar shells and shrapnel-packed C4 strapped onto suicide
bombers. The Israelis responded to such barbarity in kind, with tanks,
missiles, assassinations of Palestinian leaders, razing of Palestinian
towns, and votes for Sharon.
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"Colombo" actor
Peter Falk witnessed a grenade attack in Rome in 1985, attributed to Abu
Nidal (Quinto, AP)
The moment terrorists
began taking down airports and landmarks, they were bestowed the mythic status of a nefarious empire
capable of world domination -- something right out of a James Bond
movie. |
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Back in the height of the Cold War, the two
superpowers did exploit the conflict between Israel and her Arab
neighbors. The US supplied arms to the Jewish State since her very
founding, and the USSR did so for the Arabs. (France, a Western nation
with a special affinity towards Arab society due to her former
colonization of north Africa, dealt with both sides.) Yet events
concerning the Middle East were soon moving away from the bipolar paradigm
well before the end of the Cold War itself. Manachem Begin and Anwar Sadat
made their peace at Camp David in 1978, the first peace agreement between
Israel and an Arab nation. Since then, Washington was obliged to provide
generous financial aid to Egypt to maintain Cairo’s moderate stance
towards the West; it gave the same consideration to Jordan several years
later. Relations between Moscow and Jerusalem have been warm since the
1980s, when Russian Jews started migrating en masse to Israel,
significantly altering the Knesset’s electoral base.
Missed opportunities abounded. The
various tenants of the White House, for all the friends they were making
in the Arab world, could not stoop to support the Palestinian cause. The
Arabs, resentful of Israel’s perennial dominance courtesy of American
largesse, chose to hate America as the Great Satan, as opposed to appeal
for a positive change in American public opinion. The lynchpin in all this
was and remains a single word: terrorism. The Americans shunned the
Palestinians because some of them resorted to hijacking planes, killing
Israeli athletes at the Olympics and car-bombing public buildings. The
Palestinians and their sympathizers believed they had the right to resist
Israeli occupation by force, which to some meant attacks against any
civilian target that could be associated with Israel and her Western
allies.
Aside from the insidious pleasure of
seeing some fellow Arabs playing David against the American Goliath,
inflicting massive casualties within US borders (something that had not
been done by foreigners since December 6, 1941 at Pearl Harbor), would any
Arab or Muslim society ever benefit from the 9/11 attacks? Would the West
be thus coerced to do its bidding? The answer will always be a resounding
NO – and the terrorists know it, too. Yet they thrive on the premise
that, the bigger their attacks get, the more likely their victims may give
them more than their due. The moment terrorists began taking down airports
and landmarks, they were bestowed the
mythic status of a nefarious empire capable of world domination --
something right out of a James Bond movie.
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If that view seems grotesque and
absurd, it is nevertheless a shadow of the paranoia the West and the
Communist East felt towards each other for their apparent expansion. The Soviets
moved into Poland, East Germany, the Baltic States and half of the former
Austro-Hungarian Empire, laying down a cordon sanitaire to preserve
their communist order. Ho Chi Minh, a student of Marxism in Paris, brought
communism to French Indochina as the Vietnamese were fighting their French
overlords; the West responded by pushing the UN to divide Vietnam into two
countries, one led by Minh in Hanoi and another, a proxy of Western
interests in Saigon. Therefore, while the Viet Cong of North Vietnam
thought they were resisting yet another colonial power to restore their
nation, the administrations of Eisenhower, Kennedy and especially Johnson
believed they were containing a "contagion" of communist regimes
that were to merge with Red China, and spread all over southeast Asia.
Thus, during the Cold War, proponents
of communism nearly always enjoyed an aura of sovereign power, be it a
totalitarian dictatorship or a national leader espousing Marxist ideology.
Even left-leaning US citizens – intellectuals and idealists – were
uniformly branded as enemies of the state, a collective threat to national
security. Until 9/11, terrorism had a much lower profile.
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Are we forgetting about this image from
Oklahoma City? (AP photo)
When Timothy McVeigh
blew up the Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City in 1995, killing 168
people, the US did not reorganize the federal government or
resort to deficit spending just to stem the tide of domestic right-wing
extremism. |
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At one time, groups led by the likes
of Carlos the Jackal, Abu Nidal or even Osama bin Laden were but criminal
gangs pursued by law enforcement agencies; they had not yet been lionized
as global powers of their own right, befitting a defending nation’s full
military engagement. Often they were mercenaries, serving despotic regimes
in Tripoli, Damascus and Tehran. Or, like the Abu Sayyaf or the FARC, they
were simply racketeers, kidnappers and traffickers whose political agenda
were vague and irrelevant.
When Timothy McVeigh blew up the
Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City in 1995, killing 168 people, the
US did not reorganize the federal government or resort to
deficit spending just to stem the tide of domestic right-wing extremism. (The
radical right themselves would believe otherwise; McVeigh thought he was
exacting revenge for the raid by federal agents against the Branch
Davidians in Waco, Texas a year earlier.)
Perhaps it was the fortuitously
swift arrest of McVeigh that averted such a grand response. Perhaps we
were reluctant to admit being victimized by our own native sons. Had we been just as ardent to trace and isolate the extreme
right as a potential threat, as we blacklisted our own communists during
Joe McCarthy’s time, John Ashcroft’s dire vision of an American police
state would not seem so out of place. Since 9/11, that is exactly what the
federal government is trying to do with Arabs in the US, be he an American
citizen or not.
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There probably wouldn’t be a War on
Terrorism now if al-Qaeda had attacked just another barrack, embassy or
warship stationed in a faraway place. For any family who had to bear the
loss of a loved one, the deaths in downtown Manhattan, the Pentagon and
rural Pennsylvania on that day in September were just as tragic as those
perished aboard the USS Cole in Yemen, the American embassies in Nairobi
and Dar es Salaam, or in the jungles of south Philippines. Beyond that, a
new chapter in world history was indelibly prefaced with the image of the
collapsing Twin Towers, rendering the entire skyline of New York a
poignant memorial.
The Cold War is long over; the War on
Terrorism has just begun. Whatever comparison one can make between these
two conflicts, perhaps the most sobering is a count of casualties.
On September 11, 2001, 3,748 people
died at the World Trade Center, 189 in the Pentagon, 44 aboard
Flight 93 in Pennsylvania.
There
are 58,178 names inscribed on the Vietnam War Memorial in Washington.
Charles
Weng, 25 August 2002 |
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